Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 0.545319 0.603203 0.665638 0.738150 0.820250 0.910556 1.017720
2025-09-07 0.452952 0.532812 0.625508 0.741754 0.884613 1.055700 1.277987
2025-09-14 0.393076 0.481270 0.588700 0.730551 0.914954 1.149363 1.474426
2025-09-21 0.351518 0.444191 0.561484 0.722932 0.942688 1.236253 1.666485
2025-09-28 0.311601 0.403804 0.524153 0.695499 0.937736 1.275024 1.793074
2025-10-05 0.293949 0.390313 0.519908 0.710636 0.990599 1.396984 2.051738
2025-10-12 0.277908 0.377099 0.514111 0.721890 1.037535 1.513699 2.316094
2025-10-19 0.262218 0.362757 0.504998 0.726633 1.074054 1.617117 2.571508
2025-10-26 0.248235 0.349551 0.496088 0.730231 1.108191 1.719192 2.837078
2025-11-02 0.236811 0.339086 0.490134 0.737348 1.147850 1.833513 3.138712
2025-11-09 0.220882 0.320671 0.470617 0.720987 1.146720 1.877804 3.317556
2025-11-16 0.211994 0.312329 0.465913 0.727946 1.185142 1.994436 3.649286
2025-11-23 0.200859 0.299950 0.454242 0.722800 1.202803 2.077120 3.930199
2025-11-30 0.192337 0.291157 0.447699 0.725767 1.235166 2.190817 4.293518
2025-12-07 0.181848 0.278510 0.433917 0.714866 1.240711 2.253129 4.556005
2025-12-14 0.172913 0.267839 0.422673 0.707439 1.251817 2.327215 4.856192
2025-12-21 0.161236 0.251972 0.401654 0.680702 1.223156 2.316964 4.959138
2025-12-28 0.157627 0.249397 0.403201 0.695456 1.277217 2.485116 5.517827
2026-01-04 0.153608 0.245867 0.402803 0.706424 1.324580 2.644535 6.085036
2026-01-11 0.148846 0.240771 0.399275 0.711047 1.359161 2.779737 6.615570
2026-01-18 0.144223 0.235652 0.395365 0.714553 1.391600 2.913900 7.169951
2026-01-25 0.140377 0.231691 0.393295 0.721489 1.432022 3.071777 7.824008
2026-02-01 0.133605 0.222153 0.380377 0.705545 1.420326 3.102389 8.111609